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Based on the information gathered, I can identify several structural factors that could potentially push the neutral interest rate higher in the US economy. These factors include: 1. Low Unemployment Rate: As the unemployment rate decreases, there is less slack in the labor market, which can lead to upward pressure on wages and inflation. This […]
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The US economy grew at a slower pace of 1.6% in the first quarter of 2024, according to the latest GDP report. This slowdown was driven by a decrease in business investment and a decline in exports. However, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation component came in hotter than expected, with a year-over-year increase of […]


